Kyle Schaap |
If you are reading this and are from
North America (and perhaps even if you aren't), you are no doubt aware of just
how divisive the issue of climate change is in the US and Canada. Experts from
both sides of the issue are regular installments on the 24-hour news networks,
presenting the latest data in favor of or disputing the warming of the planet.
Policy experts offer the pros and cons of legislation aimed at cutting
greenhouse gas emissions. Law makers debate possible action steps. Facebook
posts supporting or refuting climate change turn into hotbeds of political (and
sometimes a little bit of personal) attacks. Friends bicker; family
relationships are strained.
This is simply the reality of
the political climate in North America, but
the existence of such rigorous debate is no coincidence. If warming
trends continue the way that scientists are currently projecting (4 degrees
Celsius by the end of the century), things in North America won't look all that
different. We'll probably experience more droughts, our growing zones will
shift, and Michigan will have the climate of Tennessee. Even if
things do get bad in North America, we have the money and technology necessary
to adapt fairly well to any changes in weather patterns or growing seasons that
we might experience. In short: North America can afford not to worry about
climate change—at least for a while.
But what will happen to other parts
of the world if warming continues at the rate projected? The predictions are
staggering: the inundation of coastal cities; increasing risks for food
production, potentially leading to higher malnutrition rates; many dry regions
becoming dryer, and wet regions wetter; unprecedented heat-waves in many
regions, especially in the tropics; substantially exacerbated water scarcity in
many regions; increased frequency of high-intensity tropical cyclones; and irreversible
loss of biodiversity, including coral reef systems. A recent report commissioned by the World Bank Group
identifies some of the most vulnerable cities to be in Mozambique, Madagascar,
Mexico, Venezuela, India, Bangladesh, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam.
In short: utter catastrophe for much of the Global South.
So how do we explain the existence of
such ambivalence in North America toward climate change in the face of
such shocking predictions? I believe that part of the answer is that we have
the privilege of skepticism. We have been largely shielded from the effects of
a warming world. As such, we have the freedom to debate the existence of the
climate disruption that scientists are telling us about. "I don't see any
substantial changes to weather patterns. Are we sure this is really
happening?"
Something I've been struck by during
my time here so far is that a changing climate isn't a debate in Kenya; it is a
daily reality. It is a daily reality for the farmers we talked to who can no
longer predict the rains and do not know when to plant their crops. It is a
daily reality for villagers whose centuries-long river-fed water supplies are
dwindling ever lower by the day.
Increasing severe drought drives a desperate search for water |
There is no doubt the debate over
climate change will continue to rage in North America for some time to come.
Figures will be cited, studies will be pointed to, voices will be raised. As
long as we continue to be largely sheltered from the effects of a warming
world, doubt will infuse our public discourse. But as we continue to exercise
our privilege of skepticism, people in Kenya—and in other vulnerable places
around the globe—will continue to pay the price of our ambivalence. Because
make no mistake: Inaction costs something. We just aren't the ones that are
paying for it.
Kyle Schaap is Policy Analyst/Advocacy Fellow for the Christian Reformed Office of Social Justice. This post originally appeared at World Renew's Volunteer Blog. Kyle recently led a group of Christians to Kenya to witness the impact of climate disruptions on the poor. Follow @John_Elwood
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